Forecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI acceleration
New data supports an exponential AI curve, but lots of uncertainty remains
Notes:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43758936 Important AGI quote / definition from the article: "When I use “AGI” in this article, I mean to refer to an AI system that can automate 99%+ of all economically valuable 2024-era remote tasks at a cost less than it costs to employ an equivalently skilled human to do that task."